2013-09-10

Huge Growth In Arctic Ice Sheet Traps Sailors

One of the ideas in socionomics is that magical thinking rises during periods of negative social mood. I always thought that was a negative, as in people rejecting science for superstition. But increasingly I believe this is actually a positive because it is a reaction to over reliance on science, corruption of science, and the failure of science. In Antifragile, Nassim Taleb makes some strong anti-scientific arguments, while being pro-religion pro-philosophy. He makes the case that religion can save patients from iatrogenic illness, that is harm caused by doctors. It is also the case with climate science, where grand claims were made by scientists and now those claims are being shown to be false, or at least far less strong than originally argued.

At the grand supercycle top, many of the traits that fall under positive social mood have become negatives to the point where negative social mood will lead to greater progress. This is why the script flips during the bearish/negative mood phase. The corrective waves of positive social mood will pull society back towards the extremist policies of peak social mood, while negative social mood waves will see society progress culturally. In science, the political corruption of the field will be wiped out as money is drained from the sector, leaving the science to the scientists as the politicians and money chasers leave. The whole climate change episode will become a great stain upon science which will be referenced in future to teach young scientists how to conduct science in an ethical manner.

And now for the latest sign that global cooling, not warming, is on the way:
And now it's global COOLING! Record return of Arctic ice cap as it grows by 60% in a year


My favorite part of the article:
The rebound from 2012’s record low comes six years after the BBC reported that global warming would leave the Arctic ice-free in summer by 2013.

....The Northwest Passage from the Atlantic to the Pacific has remained blocked by pack-ice all year. More than 20 yachts that had planned to sail it have been left ice-bound and a cruise ship attempting the route was forced to turn back.
The article goes on to discuss the growing scientific evidence for a period of cooling, rather than warming, with some scientists arguing climate models have too much weight on the effects of carbon dioxide.

No comments:

Post a Comment