Market Says Hillary Won the Debate

If scoring as a traditional debate, Clinton clearly won the latter half of the debate. Trump was chasing topics of little interest to voters and failed to tee off on softball issues such as cyber security. The markets agreed, with heavier buying of Clinton pushing up her odds back above 70 percent.

Judging on the relative metrics of expectations, it appears Trump did better than many were expecting.

The final verdict will be here at the end of the week, when polling data includes the debate performance. Trump has been rising in the state polls and holding within 1 to 2 percent of Clinton in national polls. If the trend stops or reverses, Clinton clearly will have won the debate in the only way that matters. If Trump continues to climb, it signals a stronger trend is underway, one that a poor debate performance didn't affect.

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