2020-10-24

Senate Poll Shifts Towards GOP Again

I don't take RCP averages as an accurate measure of the election, but I do follow the trend. The Arizona Senate race has shifted from lean Democrat to toss-up. If the GOP runs the table on the Senate tossups, very possible if Trump wins the presidency because it means the polls are way off, they pick up two seats. My largest bets are on the GOP adding at least one Senate seat, the Democrats losing House seats, and Trump winning Minnesota because of the odds. My largest payoff will be if the GOP sweeps Congress. My capitl on that bet is lower though, because those odds were extremely low when it looked like the GOP would lose Senate seats.

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