2016-01-17

New Home Prices Rise in December

NBS confirms the CREIS report out earlier in the month. NBS says new home prices increased 0.20% mom, that matches the September figure. I've been tallying up the first-tier share of the price increase. Last month, the first-tier plus Xiamen were 55% of the national price increase, with Shenzhen nabbing 22% of the total national increase. In December, these numbers were 54% and 23%, almost no change (Shenzhen prices were up 3.2% mom). The national real estate market is recovering and first-tier is leading the way, but still no significant spread beyond the second tier. The biggest single drop was in Dandong, Liaoning down 0.9% mom in December.

Year over year, prices are up 0.24%.

Since 2010, average prices are up 9.1%.

March 2014: 4 cities saw declines in price mom, 10 cities were flat, 56 were up.
April: 8 cities saw declines in price mom, 18 cities were flat, 44 were up.
May: 35 cities saw declines in price mom, 20 cities were flat, 15 were up.
June: 55 cities saw declines in price mom, 7 cities were flat, 8 were up.
July: 64 cities saw declines in price mom, 4 cities were flat, 2 were up.
August: 68 cities saw declines in price mom, 1 city was flat, 1 was up.
September: 69 cities saw declines in price mom, 1 city was flat, 0 were up.
October: 69 cities saw declines in price mom, 1 city was flat, 0 were up.
November: 67 cities saw declines in price mom, 3 cities were flat, 0 were up.
December: 65 cities saw declines in price mom, 4 cities were flat, 1 was up.
January 2015: 65 cities saw declines in price mom, 3 cities were flat, 2 were up.
February: 66 cities saw declines in price mom, 2 cities were flat, 2 were up.
March: 49 cities saw declines in price mom, 9 cities were flat, 12 were up.
April: 47 cities saw declines in price mom, 5 cities were flat, 18 were up.
May: 41 cities saw declines in price mom, 9 cities were flat, 20 were up.
June: 34 cities saw declines in price mom, 9 cities were flat, 27 were up.
July: 39 cities saw declines in price mom, 10 cities were flat, 31 were up.
August: 26 cities saw declines in price mom, 9 cities were flat, 35 were up.
September: 21 cities saw declines in price mom, 10 cities were flat, 39 were up.
October: 33 cities saw declines in price mom, 10 cities were flat, 27 were up.
November: 27 cities saw declines in price mom, 10 cities were flat, 33 were up.
December: 26 cities saw declines in price mom, 5 cities were flat, 39 were up.

Existing home prices were up nearly the same amount as new home prices last month, rising 0.19% mom. The city up/down breakdown was the same as with new home prices. The first-tier plus Xiamen accounted for 62% of the increase in existing homes nationally.

Source: 2015年12月份70个大中城市住宅销售价格变动情况

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