2020-11-08

Major Test for the Cathedral: Is The Election Over?

In case some aren't familiar with the term Cathedral or the idea of the , below is a very brief overview of how the media and other institutions rule the United States. If you're familiar with the Cathedral, skip down to the American Thinker piece. For those who aren't, the Cathedral is a term invented by a blogger Mencius Moldbug to describe the power strucutre of the United States. The media, education and government operate a kind of open conspiracy where everyone knows which way the wind blows. When opinion changes at Harvard or the President changes, the political script can be flipped 180 degrees. It's how people can be screaming about crowds and coronavirus one day, and cheer BLM protests or Biden victory celebrations the next day. The term fucntions as shorthand for all these institutions, but also evokes the idea of it as a religion, which political correctness has become.

To some degree we are all inside the Cathedral in the USA and much of the West because these institutions set "the narrative." Topics such as transgenderism are discussed because these institutions discuss them. If it were up to a free market of ideas, these would not be topics. (One can go deeper into the concpet and ask if the Cathedral is in fact a product of "free markets" or "free thinking" in a human society.) The point for this post is that topics that are set by certain institutions and those institutions interact like a single body. You don't see Harvard go to war with Yale or the U.S. government over a policy. Instead, they're all moving in the same direction. Similar to a flock of birds, everyone in the Cathedral shifts on a dime when policy or messaging changes.

People in power promote these issues and policies, people out of power oppose them, but they all discuss them. Those who are truly on the outside either talk about other topics completely, do not participate at all (think the Amish or isolated foreign countries) or are the actual dissidents who use terms like "the Cathedral."

When the Cathedral came into existence is a topic of debate, but in the past two or three decades, it has increasingly deviated from reality. Narrative replaced objective analysis. The U.S. used to define reality in the sense of say, capitalism defeating communism. Now it defines reality more with slogans along the lines of "diversity is strength" or more concretely, Hillary Clinton has a 99 percnet change of winning the 2016 election. It is ever more shocked as time passes and events deviate further from the predicted outcome. Additionally, institutional rot, non-meritocratic selection critera and the accumulated corruption of any aging empire reduces human capital within it. This is evidenced by instutional, policy and media failures such as the coronavirus detection and response.

My initial thoughts on cornavirus back in January hold up well. I was worried more about the economic impact of a potential lockdown than the virus itself, and as time has gone by, that has proven the ever more correct orientiation. At that point I obtained most of my information from Chinese media, a dozen or so social media accounts and blogs and the great work of Chris Martenson. They didn't get everything right, but little things like how the virus is transmitted or how it could enter the eyes, was reported in Chinese media in late January. Many people, including myself, thought a lockdown made sense initially when little was known about the virus, but most turned against lockdown policy by May at the latest. Today, most of the Cathedral wants more lockdowns.

In January the U.S. media was calling Trump racist or stupid for his travel ban from China. Some Democrats went to Chinatown and people were saying to "hug a Chinese person." This is the type of brainless response when political narrative has overtaken the logial facultires. In February, we were wondering how many cases were already in the U.S., even as U.S. "experts" were claiming there was low risk of it arriving. In late February I posted USA In Denial Over Coronavirus, Institutional Failures Reaching Critical Mass. At that point the CDC was still only looking for coronavirus cases from people who had traveled to China, when it was obvious to anyone who was paying attention, that it was spreading in the U.S. And that wasn't the fault of President Trump, it was a failure of the U.S. government and science/medical establishment. While coronavirus was spreading undetected, the top concerns for the CDC were racism and obestity, and more the former than the latter.

I've been talking about "the Cathedral" directly or indirectly for years. I believe operating from "outside" the Cathedral gives one a strategic advantage in analysis. Betting on Trump to win in 2016 wasn't a mainstream position. Seeing Trump as a potential candidate in 2014 running on the immigration issue was way out of the mainstream. Today, the idea that the media lies is well-known, but I believe the media has been engaged in gregious forms of bias for decades. What has changed is a mix of cancel culture, political correctness and "crime think" that causes people to not even think of possibilities outside of the approved narratives. Why would they when expressing a heterodox view can get oneself branded a racist and fired from work? Additionally, when this type of thinking domiantes, it's much harder to tell who is good at discerning realty as compared to good at parroting whatever is the latest political fashing in the Cathedral. Elites, institutions, bureaucracies, media etc. select members on their ability to fly in the flock.

Now were here in 2020 with perhaps the third stolen election since 1960. Kennedy stole it from Nixon and Bush stole it from Gore in 2000. Gore made a mistake in trying to recount only the heavily Democrat counties. Studies have showed a state-wide recount would have flipped the state and the election. Jonathan Turley discusses both cases and the potentially current one in Pulling A Rosie Ruiz: The Risky Business Of Calling American Presidential Elections. He also discusses why candidates rush out to declare victory early and create a narrative, as was done again this time.

This time might be different thoguh.

American Thinker:

Wait Just a Minute! Some Very Good News May Be Coming

Hey guys, this thing is not only not over; it is scary for Biden. I mean really scary, and most of all, the media know it. Thus, the rush to get everyone in line with the narrative that a 78-year-old, early-dementia former V.P., who could not draw a crowd larger than a dozen, just beat D.J. in a fair election.

Process that for a moment.

Start with Pennsylvania. Biden, as of this writing, is at 290 electoral votes. Pennsylvania is 20.

I read the Justice Alito opinion, and it is pretty clear that he wants the after election night at 8:00 P.M. votes separated for a reason. Biden is going to lose at the Supreme Court, and they know it. Four justices already said the Pennsylvania Supreme Court cannot adjust voting rules. A new arrival, Justice Barrett, says she is there to apply the rules in the Constitution. OK, wanna bet she does?

Remove the after 8:00 P.M. ballots, and Biden loses Pennsylvania. Biden 270.

Let's visit Nevada. I have lots of friends in California who have condos in Nevada to evade state taxes. There are not a couple of people doing this; there are tens of thousands. Everyone knows it, and California seeks them out.

Our old pal Harry Reid knows it as well, and he apparently has them voting in droves in this election. Probably not a big D.J. constituency. Within 72 hours of the election, the Trump team found, validated over 3,500 of them. I do not suspect that Trump's people stopped counting.

Every one of these is a ballot reduction for Biden

Nevada, as of now, is well within reach for DJ and the Trump team — particularly when the California crowd is reduced. And a few of them may testify since a false vote is a very bad thing, with jail time if convicted. Maybe a bigger story here.

Remember where we are, people. Biden is at 270 after a highly probable Supreme Court decision (read Alito and concurring opinions).

Lose Nevada, lose the election.

But wait: it gets better.

Let's visit Wisconsin. Right now, it is 20,000 votes in Uncle Joe's direction. Lots of stories out there, well below the Google fold, that there are way more Wisconsin votes than there are registered voters. OK, maybe the dead can vote up there — probably a Midwest thing.

Well, last night, we found that Wisconsin election clerks were told, and followed the direction, to modify mail-in ballots and fill in the blanks where witnesses left out critical info.

I am sure it was just a good customer service thing and they meant no harm. The problem is every such ballot is now toast.

There were "thousands" of such prima facie wrongful votes. Oops. Biden up 20,000 — now that number is in question. No more truckloads of votes coming in, so every ballot D.J.'s team eliminates gets President-Elect Biden on step closer to former V.P. Biden who lives in a basement. Not good here.

North Carolina. That one pretty much looks like as though it is over and D.J. won it. Fox News is rumored to call it for Trump around April 2021.

Remember where we are here. Biden is probably going to lose Pennsylvania, so if he loses even one state, even one Electoral College vote, ouch!

Either D.J. wins outright, or it goes to the House, which means that D.J. has four more years.

We're not done yet.

Michigan. Oh, yes, the land of the "glitches" in the voting machines. Six thousand votes for Trump given to Biden in one of 47 counties where that software is used. About 150,000 votes in Biden's favor right now.

Google the 130,000 Biden votes that showed up in the middle of the night, and you can see how the wonderful people at Google are fact-checking this "debunked" story. In fact, for fun, Google "Michigan voter fraud," and you get literally three pages of "this was fact checked and proven to be false." Why would Google be so assiduous?

They too see that if Amy votes with the four, Biden is one vote away from the basement.

My personal opinion for the past few days has been that massive fraud took place, but probably not enough to swing the election for Biden. I'm less sure of that today. I'd like to see things investigated. What I do know, however, is that the bunch of outsiders, bloggers and social media anons who are investigating this are also ones who saw the coronavirus coming early. If they get it wrong it's a miss for them, but as long as some substaintial amount of fraud is detected, I'd still call it a win. The Cathedral doesn't get a break though. If they're wrong, if they hyped fake polls for months, censored accounts for political reasons, censored people questioning the election results, shut accounts and cut the U.S. President off television midway through a public address, then there's going to be hell to pay from all sides. The media has sparked race riots from Trayvon Martin to Michael Brown to George Floyd with selective reporting. They will likely spark even more riots, and perhaps more violent riots, if the election outcome is "reversred" from the media's call. Failure of this test will take the industry as close to the graveyard as its ever been.

Since this is a mainly a financial blog, also consider the market fallout. Nasdaq futures are up about 2 percent on Sunday night as I'm typing this, the U.S. dollar experiencing continued weakness in anticipation of no trade wars and bigger deficits...

P.S. I came across this video of Nassim Taleb discussing how bad social science is done with regressions. He discusses how racism (such as systemic racism) is an artifact of bad math. I've noticed many in the media also dismissing the analysis of social media accounts and bloggers. My point here is only to reinforce why a skeptical position and distrust of the media is the better default view until there's clear confirmation from unbiased sources. They've had years to debunk the "systemic racism" lie, and also the "female wage gap" lie, yet haven't because they're either liars or very bad at math, or both.

Update: Below are some Twitter posts about election fraud, you can clikc through to read the thread. fata

This next one isn't evidence of fraud, but it is the type of data point that fuels conspiracies:
Also not directly relevant, but the City of Atlanta committed widespread fraud on No Child Left Behind testing. If there are anomalies in the data, odds are good that some level of electoral fraud was committed in machine cities.

A data security expert who warned about Dominion Voting Systems.

The arcive of this thread in case Twitter deletes it.

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