2021-12-17

Omicron is Beating the Vaccines

4 New York: ‘We've Never Seen This Before in NYC': COVID Positivity Rate Doubles in 3 Days on Omicron Spread
"Um, we've never seen this before in #NYC," Varma tweeted, noting that the daily positivity rate on Dec. 9 was 3.9% and appeared to have doubled by Dec. 12 to 7.8%.

"This is #SARSCoV2 evading both vaccine & virus induced immunity *against infection* unlike any variant before. That's only explanation for dramatic jump in positivity. Consensus for now (but subject to change) is that immunity *against severe disease* should be far better," he went on to tweet.

(A new British study released Thursday suggested the omicron variant could cause symptoms that might be mistaken for the common cold. That comes amid growing research indicating that omicron causes milder illness than the delta variant, but will sicken many more people, threatening the stability of healthcare systems.)

Is there evidence omicron beats natural immunity? Maybe it does, but if there is no evidence yet, my hunch is it beats the vaccines more than it beats natural immunity. I'mwaiting for evidence though. Also, how will the healthcare system be overwhelmed by colds?

Eugyppius: UKHSA Vaccine Efficacy Statistics: Week 50

My understanding is that the delta variant is driving these numbers in the UK with omicron only recently hitting the island.

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