2022-01-12

Very Bad Inflation Report

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.5 percent in December on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.8 percent in November, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 7.0 percent before seasonal adjustment.

Increases in the indexes for shelter and for used cars and trucks were the largest contributors to the seasonally adjusted all items increase. The food index also contributed, although it increased less than in recent months, rising 0.5 percent in December. The energy index declined in December, ending a long series of increases; it fell 0.4 percent as the indexes for gasoline and natural gas both decreased.

The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.6 percent in December following a 0.5-percent increase in November. This was the sixth time in the last 9 months it has increased at least 0.5 percent. Along with the indexes for shelter and for used cars and trucks, the indexes for household furnishings and operations, apparel, new vehicles, and medical care all increased in December. As in November, the indexes for motor vehicle insurance and recreation were among the few to decline over the month.

Energy prices are back up. Crude is ripping again this morning following the CPI report. Both the 10-year bond and Nasdaq are also bouncing too, for technical reasons and because there are still a lot of idiots in the market who do not realize inflation will destroy stock values. Wait for the technical bounce to clear before going short again, but new lows should follow. Even if tomorrow's PPI report is also bought, the movement in energy and commodities has worsened the picture for 2022.

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