2022-11-25

Bearishness Intensifies: China Cuts RRR Again

Update: For more discussion, see the post over at Substack: The Based Take on China's RRR Cut

ZH: China Cuts Reserve Requirement Ratio By 25bps, Boosts Economy With $70BN In Fresh Liquidity

Below I've reproduced my post from December 6, 2021: China RRR Cut is Bearish

ZH: China Cuts RRR By 50bps; More Easing Expected

Specifically, the PBOC cut the RRR by 50bps effective 15th Dec. The move will release CNY 1.2 trillion in liquidity - some of this new money will be used by banks to repay maturing loans from the PBOC’s medium-term lending facility and some of it will be used to replenish financial institutions’ long-term capital, the central bank said. There are almost 1 trillion yuan worth of the 1-year loans maturing on Dec. 15, the day the cut takes effect.
It releases zero trillion in new lending. It eases financial pressure on banks who are probably running into some trouble because of the strong dollar. Look at the chart posted with the article. The RRR cuts come during the taper. They occur before yuan depreciation in August 2015 and before a broad global sell-off in risk assets in autumn 2018.
I am thinking about the time and place of the next panic.

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