The Mainland China data from the last 5-6 prints:
— R^2 = 1.0000 (@evdefender) February 2, 2020
1. Can be modeled essentially perfectly
2. Corresponds exactly to a change in the reported mortality rate starting on Jan. 27
3. That reported mortality rate has been lowered to seek 2.20% on a -0Day basis#coronavirus pic.twitter.com/n8lLQHtldB
2020-02-04
Goalseeking Coronavirus Cases and Deaths
Chris Martenson discussed a chart predicting Chinese data in his coronavirus update today. The source appears to be the Twitter user below.
Numbers are fluid because they're reported more than once a day, but the AM data release (China time) is very close to on model for February 4, 23969 cases and 491 deaths. Many people suspect Chinese data isn't complete, but this implies it's a goalseeked formula targeting a mortality rate of around 2.1 to 2.2 percent.
Having read this I thought it was extremely informative.I appreciate you finding the time and effort to put this information together.
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