Real estate investment growth peaked in late 2016 and fairly steadily declined throughout 2017. The government's reflation efforts are getting weaker both in time and strength.
I don't have a crystal ball, but I am definitely hedging my commodities bets heading into March. (Spring Festival is late this year, February 16.) The market looks extremely out of whack with fundamentals in the short-term, heavily overbought when China looks about where it was when financial markets went sideways in 2014.
ISM Services in Contraction for the First Time Since December 2022
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Economic activity in the services sector contracted in April for the first
time since December 2022, ending a period of 15 consecutive months of
growth.
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