布林肯结束访华离京 多细节引关注
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美国国务卿布林肯24日抵达中国,开启他10个月来第二次对华访问。尽管在他行前有美国官员表示,现在的情况与一年前 […]...
2022-08-17
ZB Giving Me Headaches
I don't think the direction of ZB matters for stocks in the longer-term bear market. Higher rates will kill sectors such as housing and eventually trigger a major recession that probably sends bonds soaring for a time. It matters for how the bear unfolds in the short-term though. It also will help determine the worst performers aka the stuff we want to be shorting. It looks like it is taking on a bearish shape, but that isn't decisive yet.
The Nasdaq is leading the way lower as ZB declines.
Crude oil top is complete. USO is hanging around long-term support, while CL sits below a similar line after failing at resistance. Crude should have a breakdown soon and because I'm expecting stocks will decline here, I'm trading it via XLE. If crude doesn't break down, that could be bad news for ZB and NQ, while a drop might be bullish for a time until the market starts worrying about deflation.
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