Financial MIRV

Gambler strikes: RY $80, XLF $30. Lots of targets in this sector. Avoid ones hitting support such as SIVB. Zion is an example of the mondo topping patterns in small and regional banks that haven't busted yet.

All My Positions

I have short positions of varying size on all of these. In terms of number of options, XLP is by far the largest position. By dollar size, CME, APPL, MCD, SHW are relatively large. If I group together all my energy positions XLE, COP and USO, that would be larger than everything, but some of these are weekly puts that I may take off early next week if crude doesn't dip quickly. XLP puts are cheaper though, and thus I anticipate they could be my largest position at the conclusion.

Update: I forgot to list BITI calls, a short position on BTC.

Put Buying Spree

I have massive OTM puts on all of these. Plan on adding to XLE and XLI. I didn't buy puts on FXI, but included it because it is important for emerging markets. It looks like the same setup as in October 2008. I still have cash left and am looking to add more on one final pop in the market.

Canadian Banks

Good spot for shorting.

Canadian Banks

EWC is the Canada ETF. Banks have been outperforming in recent years. In relative terms, RY has done best compared to EWC. CM is the most exposed to the housing market.

Here is residential home prices and RY on the same chart. Prices are down 20 percent from the February 2021 peak. Interesting that it peaked at the same time as ARKK and other speculative stocks.

Canadian Skanks

They took the plunge today. These were second-half trades I was saving for later. Hopefully a bounce for a good entry in late August or early September. CM is my top taregt for a housing bust, probably guaranteed if the central banker comments below are put into policy.