Casinos have committed to investing a total of $15 billion in the coming decade, 90% of which must be spent on non-gaming.
But operators will find it hard to monetise their non-gaming ventures given their poor track record since 2001, when the former Portuguese colony first liberalized the industry, executives and analysts said.
Non-gaming revenues, which averaged around 5% of overall gaming revenues pre-COVID, must grow to more than 30% in the next decade, said Ben Lee, founder of Macau gaming consultancy IGamiX.
The yuan devluation scenario has never gone away as long as the dollar remains richly valued, China relies on foreign reserves to back its currency, outflow pressure keeps reserves from rising, and China's monster credit bubble grows with repeated use of forced production, such as making steel, for short-term GDP boosts.
China Evergrande Group bonds are suffering steep haircuts in a key onshore funding market, showing just how risky the bonds are perceived to be by mainland dealers.
Holders of Evergrande’s 2023 yuan bond are being forced to accept a 53% discount to pledge the note as collateral in the repo market, according to China Securities Depository and Clearing Corp. data, versus 28% in April. A markdown of around 57% of the bond’s face value was seen in the wake of the developer’s previous liquidity crisis in October, the data showed.
The larger haircuts come as the property giant struggles to convince investors it can generate enough cash to pay down debt. While Evergrande -- the world’s most indebted developer -- is rated the equivalent of investment-grade by China’s largest credit risk assessor, several of its onshore notes have slumped to record lows this week as concern over its financial health worsened.
U.S. stocks suffered a quick 10 percent haircut on the yuan devaluation in 2015. They would rebound, but then sink to a low in early 2016 led by energy and commodities. Back then, there was cooperation by central banks. Would there be cooperation this time around?
I seldom time these things because it's impossible to know early on. More signs will emerge if something is creaking under the hood. I will look for specific stock and forex trades if this develops. Casions with China exposure were crushed last time.
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