2014-04-02

China's Real Estate Cheerleader: Real Estate Prices Will Not Fall in 2014; If They Fall The Chinese Economy Will Collapse

Ren Zhiqiang is still cheery about real estate prices, but he admits that the economy will collapse if real estate prices drop.

任志强:2014年房价降不了 一旦下跌中国经济要崩溃
Real estate issues I have also talked to a bunch of people say hunters then, I will not say the real estate collapse, at least not crash now. I am still in this attitude, real estate problems can be more than just a problem of housing prices, there are too many disputes, to collapse, at the time, and now I do not fancy on him.

Thus we see, the Internet say, have a house and a car to get married, have been in everyone's understanding inside the house and the car says a heavyweight presence, but now we look back, the car began many years ago as early slow slowly into everyone's life, except the house, is still pressure in our heads a mountain, so many people can not match.

Why?

The car can cut prices, falling house how not?

Because a certain extent, the use of the house as the House of Love in many people's eyes Boo Lai Shi nervous as a necessity, even though a lot of land and China exist, but not every place can build a house to sell, because we have to buy a house see lots.

So, on demand, real estate but well done.

Then, the preservation of the house, bought his own to live, not live on rent for a period of 70 years, is indeed a superior performance shares under the current investment environment in this harsh environment, but real estate than other Industrial safety, so There has been no shortage of capital inflows, even a hedge against inflation in accordance with, this is nothing more really than the stock, so the more harsh environment, real estate, but is often more contrarian.

Especially in the past, real estate generated a lot of interest, implicated in a lot of manpower and material resources, the government did not dare let the real estate collapse, the government's acquiescence, no one can make the real estate crash.

Then yes, what is the attitude of the government to treat real estate? Maintenance of stability!

If you really are going to crash, I think for a long time, only one possibility is flattery, because real estate is the bane of funding strand breaks, but the government for the purpose of maintaining stability, shot, real estate capital chain is no legend The so fragile, not to crazy, began a more gentle transition, so prices will not occur in the future collapse.

Because if so, the Chinese economy to collapse

If you do not flattery, prices will not collapse, but are likely to fall to rise, it will enter a period of shock.

Why do prices collapse? Because the government is not flattery, is the existence of a tacit understanding between the two, but because of the danger of the collapse of the real estate exists and help the real estate bubble squeeze, is what we call a series of government actions in real estate, I Put another way, the real estate kidnapping the government, the government will not let him crash, but also with a little means to give yourself unbundling, the plane landed not directly fall, but slowly slowly, but I said, China's real estate market is still .

Prices before the problem can not be generalized, but should think so, overheating is a good drive overall, everyone JiQuanShengTian, ​​100 sell 100, but it sold out 100? Dare to sell a 99 dollar have become a ...

So is this the case of real estate, rather than saying, two days, a crash, and everyone will be able to exchange good paper to a suite of central Beijing, when so many people want to change the price or to lift up.

Therefore, the rational view is that some high real estate still high, but every one of those who would suppress it, this is the price strange phenomenon.

So, in fact, there is a very fundamental question, livable urban Chinese living and working on a few, urbanization behind, making you actually buy a house in question is chosen relatively small, so the problem is not economic The reason one aspect alone.

A lot of money flowing into the limited local, naturally pushed up prices. So after the case should be that of the low-end market has been affected more serious, as the high-end market, I have not done market research, to look at supply and demand, and then the mid-market should be expanded. Of course, this is my little one-sided words, I do not have detailed information, subjective judgment is relatively large, we tentatively listen enough.

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