2022-06-07

The Lockdowns are Central Planning

Independent: Return of ‘work from home’ plan to save fuel in event of crisis caused by Ukraine war (Archive link)
People will be ordered to work from home in the event of a major fuel crisis sparked by the war in Ukraine, under secret Government emergency plans.

The Irish Independent has learned confidential details of an emergency planning exercise held 10 days ago between all the major state agencies and the Government.

...Delegates were given a scenario of a 20pc diesel supply deficit in September and a 35pc drop in supply in December. The third and most extreme scenario proposed for February 2023, is where gas and oil supplies cannot meet the demand for electricity generation or farmers preparing to cut silage.

The Irish Independent can reveal that in the event of a national fuel crisis, emergency contingency measures discussed at the high-level meeting include:

:: All non-essential workers will be ordered to work from home

:: A limit will be placed on all non-essential car travel

:: A strict limit on the amount of fuel motorists can buy at any one time

:: The implementation of an immediate and strict reduction in the speed limit on motorways.

The plan also includes the introduction of an emergency scheme whereby motorists with an odd number at the end of their car registration will only be allowed to drive or refuel on alternate days.

The market can instantly solve the problem of high fuel costs because people will ration it themselves. High prices, unfortunately, are the best cure for high prices sometimes.

Socialism aka scientific socialism aka communist are all forms of the Fatal Conceit (PDF link).

The Fatal Conceit

The book attempts to conclusively refute all forms of Socialism by demonstrating that socialist theories are not only logically incorrect but that the premises they use to form their arguments are incorrect as well. To Hayek, the birth of civilization is due to the start of societal traditions placing importance on private property leading to expansion, trade, and eventually the modern capitalist system, also known as the extended order.[1] Hayek argues that this demonstrates a key flaw within socialist thought, which holds that only that which is purposefully designed can be most-efficient. Moreover, statist ("socialist" is Hayek's terminology) economies cannot be efficient because of the dispersed knowledge required in a modern economy. Additionally, since modern civilization and all of its customs and traditions naturally led to the current order and are needed for its continuance, any fundamental change to the system that tries to control it is doomed to fail since it would be impossible or unsustainable in modern civilization. Price signals are the only means of enabling each economic decision maker to communicate tacit knowledge or dispersed knowledge to each other, in order to solve the economic calculation problem.
Below the entry on The Fatal Conceit has "see also Dunning-Kruger"
In 2011, David Dunning wrote about his observations that people with substantial, measurable deficits in their knowledge or expertise lack the ability to recognize those deficits and, therefore, despite potentially making error after error, tend to think they are performing competently when they are not: "In short, those who are incompetent, for lack of a better term, should have little insight into their incompetence—an assertion that has come to be known as the Dunning–Kruger effect".
Every socialist suffers from this, from those who want government run healthcare to those who think they can lockdown an economy, to those trying to solve problems caused by government policies of inflation and central planning with more inflation and central planning, to the communist governments that tried planning all aspects of the economy. It's one giant Dunning-Kruger all the way down. Socialism fails, along with other forms of centralization, from it's underlying assumption: that planning is possible, let alone superior to the market. The market here meaning, the individual freely choosing how to spend their money and not some euphemism for corporate control, itself a form of central planning once it becomes too large and begins behaving like, or merging with, government.

The wise man knows there is no more efficient allocator than the market. The wise man knows that, in the case of say education or healthcare or housing, that even seemingly simple interventions such as subsidies for the poor can have wildly destructive effects on the economy. See the current U.S. healthcare system which has been tinkered with by government for the past 80 years. There are many economic problems in society, but most of these fall into the category of nature (the lazy are poor) or law. They are either "permanent" problems or can be solved without any ideology. 

The fatal conceit isn't limited to socialist ideology, even if nearly all socialists are planners at heart. It doesn't necessarily have to be socialist in outcome, but the term "scientific socialism" exists for a reason. It can begin with the idea that the "wise" or "learned" can control the economy. When this idea takes hold in a democracy it creates a Dunning-Kruger feedback loop where the dumbest voters think that someone can plan the economy and vote for people who are dumb enough to try. Society spirals down through various levels of Hell on Earth as this feedback loop feeds on itself.

The key word being science. "Trust the science." The CCP often uses the term scientific socialism, not to describe socialism as much as their "scientific" approach to managing the economy. Now they are running covid tests on Alaskan king crabs being cooked in restaurants...(unfortunately I didn't grab the video I saw on Twitter, but that link goes to an India Today report that reports on China doing covid tests on cray fish...) Point being, if you can recognize the insanity of testing crabs being fried or boiled for covid-19, then you can eventually recognize that this is "socialism" and "trust the science" all the way down. The fatal conceit begins the moment one believes they can control nature. Hundreds of millions of people were killed directly and indirectly by socialists in the 20th Century who were trying to do the equivalent of covid tests on boiling lobsters. Their plans are insane or doomed to fail from the start.

We can contain most inflation. We can make housing more affordable. We can raise wages. We can eliminate energy and food shortages. We can make healthcare more affordable and widely available. We can do many things, but none of these will be accomplished with "science" or "socialism" or "corporatism" or any people who think they can plan society beyond the broadly general sense of things like tax policy. Should government fund itself with sales tax, income tax, property tax, tariffs or capital gains tax? All? One? In what proportion? This decision alone has massive impact on society. There are arguments for and against all of them. What's going on today is not government policy in this broad general sense, but a government trying to micromanage the economy right down to restricting the movement of people, restricting their healthcare options and restricting their speech online, the latter two often farmed out to corporations...

Almost all the Greens are planners, the entire climate hoax is like the covid hoax, taking a small problem and using it as justification for the takeover of the global economy. Our crisis is not caused by covid or the climate, it is caused by people who lie about the size of these problems and use that lie to justify their own power, and the increase of that power to the point where a totalitarian government can shut off your car, your healthcare, your job, your Twitter account.

We got lucky, I think, by the covid collapse revealing the plans of the Greens. It's all the same people, the same class of planners. They wanted to do exactly what happened in 2020, but they planned on doing more slowly and making it appear more natural. That they're out there celebrating high inflation, energy and food shortages finally knocked their masks off. 

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