2020-03-14

Coronavirus Update: South Korea Curve Broken, Italy Next

Italy's coronavirus curve hasn't broken yet, but I expect it could see substantial case growth this weekend if quarantine measures worked quickly. It's possible wider testing will delay this, but I believe the "real" curve that includes all the unknown cases out there that will never be tested, is already breaking. Japan is rising, but at a linear rate. This is good for their medical system, it is a manageable increase. USA is next for curve breaking attempt, but I don't see current measures as doing enough yet. France and Germany who knows. The UK, not included yet, has decided to do nothing.

No comments:

Post a Comment