Shenzhen Rising

According to the Guangdong Academy of Social Sciences, Shenzhen has surpassed Guangzhou, and the city may be second only to Beijing among first-tier cities.

EO: 深圳，第二？ (Shenzhen, second?)

Mainland traditional four-tier cities rankings, "north of Guangzhou-Shenzhen," the city has quietly changed the pattern. According to "2014 Guangdong Province, the process of modernization," the Guangdong Academy of Social Sciences recently released survey results, the Guangzhou not only lost out in Shenzhen, on the five individual indicators also missed the "province's first."

And some time ago, the world-renowned real estate advisory body - Jones Lang LaSalle released 2015 City Power Index (CM I) report, China 7 city on the list, ranked third in Beijing, Shenzhen, fourth, slightly better than Shanghai, curious that, for many years prior to Guangzhou, Shenzhen ranked but absent.

A variety of charts related to inland cities, Shenzhen, Guangzhou has become a trend beyond "north breadth and depth" of the city will become the new normal pattern or first-tier cities in mainland China. The current trends in Shenzhen do not rule out the possibility of further, future, or will be replaced by "deep North Canton."

Increasing competitiveness

Jones Lang LaSalle city CMI report published every year, usually focused its attention on those global changes will be the fastest growing city. Sample CMI report covers 120 cities worldwide, through the city short-term socio-economic development momentum variables including population, air passenger traffic, corporate headquarters address and other indicators; as well as some long-term variables, such as with schools and basic education facilities. The number of innovative capabilities and technology companies and venture capital companies, to measure the momentum of a city.

The index and report by the previous analysis, CMI report tends to strong technology city of Shenzhen was selected largely from its scientific and technological strength. A report research institutions may not be able to fully explain the problem, but it illustrates the fact indirectly - the competitiveness of the city of Shenzhen on the rise.

Innovation has become the internal driving force of economic growth in Shenzhen, which has for three consecutive years ranked first in innovation city list, "Forbes" Chinese mainland. Less in research institutions and universities in Shenzhen to apply for patent research can escape to reach the nation. According to statistics, the first half of 2014, Shenzhen International patent application PCT 3725, accounting for 44.6% of the country.

Engine highlighted the role of the emerging industry, "Shenzhen quality" play effects. Shenzhen manufacturing competitiveness index for nine consecutive years of steady growth, in 2010, in 2011 manufacturing competitiveness index was 90.19,90.25, ranking China second in the cities. According to the latest statistics, in 2014 Shenzhen Port container throughput totaled 24.03 million TEUs, an increase of 3.26 percent, ranking third in the world for two consecutive years.

The ecological environment is also an important reference standard of urban competitiveness. This, are better than Beijing, Shenzhen, Shanghai and Guangzhou. According to Ministry of Environmental Protection in 2014 to 74 cities air quality survey showed that the air quality in Shenzhen in fourth place, is the only one of the four first-tier cities city list. Correspondingly, Beijing several times in the last year has become the worst air quality in the city, into the "black list", and continued to deteriorate; Shanghai center, the year has also repeatedly haze; Guangzhou in the Pearl River Delta region's current "bottom" .

October 2014, the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences published "City Competitiveness Report 2014" Blue Book, Shenzhen, China 294 cities stand out comprehensive economic competitiveness among, ranked second, first in Hong Kong, Guangzhou, ranked fifth.

Catching up with Shanghai?

Why Shenzhen may become the second, the most telling data.

May 4, 2015, the Shenzhen Municipal Bureau of Statistics announced first-quarter economic data, GDP was 349.442 billion yuan, an increase of 7.8% over last year, prior to March last year, the Shenzhen GDP was 295.325 billion yuan, which means continuing to maintain steady upward trend.

In the past 30 years, Shenzhen with an amazing "Shenzhen speed" rush, GDP average annual growth rate has remained at 25%, so that in industrialization, urbanization and modernization gratifying results. 2014, Shenzhen's per capita GDP of 14.95 million yuan. According to the average exchange rate of $ 24,336, equivalent to 2013 levels in Korea, ranked first in mainland China more than sub-provincial cities.

Shenzhen Nanshan is a strong area of ​​high-tech industry, it was hailed as China's Silicon Valley contender after Beijing Zhongguancun has maintained the title. Nanshan District, Shenzhen hope to create "Technology Financial Street", its innovative gene amplification to attract more overseas students and talents to Nanshan entrepreneurship.

Nanshan District, Shenzhen, is in the "Silicon Valley of China" struggle. Preliminary accounting, 2014 to achieve GDP 346.409 billion yuan, an increase of 9%. GDP per capita last year reached Nanshan District, 308,700 yuan, 21,100 yuan more than last year, an increase of 8.5%, has the Shenzhen average of 2.1 times. If the level of per capita GDP, Nanshan District, Hong Kong has more than close to Singapore.

As a first-tier cities, development of the financial sector is an important measure. From the four first-tier ranking in the city's financial value added, Beijing 331.1 billion yuan, 326.8 billion yuan Shanghai, Shenzhen was 223.8 billion yuan, only 130 billion yuan in Guangzhou. But if Qianhai in Shenzhen into an international financial center, Shanghai is also catching up just around the corner.

Compared to other cities, Shenzhen's potentially very strong, it is China's most sustainable city. According to the current situation, the proportion of tertiary industry in Shenzhen has exceeded the secondary industry, the proportion of the two industries undergoing structural change, prove Shenzhen industrial transformation and upgrading effect previews. "Proportion of tertiary industry in the economic structure of the increase, even beyond the secondary industry, which shows the maturity of a city." Research Institute (Shenzhen) Comprehensive Development China Guo Wanda told the Economic Observer newspaper reporters.

Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen and Guangzhou, this four cities in China's urban competitiveness delicate relationship. In addition to Beijing is China's political, economic and cultural center, a short time is difficult to challenge the outside. The other three cities there is a considerable degree of competition.

After beyond Guangzhou, Shanghai, Shenzhen has become the largest reference and competitors. Two cities in many areas there is a competitive relationship, will want to build on the financial center to be successful; development paths are also very close, are at a particular time in support of the central special policy was to break down.

The late nineties, Shenzhen was "out of favor", the center of the resource allocated to Shanghai more resources. Shenzhen as opinion leaders, gold heart vision in an article wrote: "luxury in front of Shanghai, Shenzhen, swept the country girl."

While with "Shenzhen speed" in 30 years than the same province Guangzhou brothers, but in order to catch up with and even surpass Shenzhen Shanghai is still no small difficulty. After the foundation of the two cities are not the same, thirty years ago, Shenzhen was just a small fishing village, and Shanghai in the 1920s and 1930s it has been an international modern metropolis of the East. Look from the current rate of development, Shenzhen has the strength to catch up.

Judging from the current situation and trend analysis, compared with Guangzhou, Shenzhen, obvious advantages. Because a solid foundation on the three pillar industries of high-tech industries, financial services and modern logistics, Shenzhen strength in the economy is strong. Moreover, Shenzhen future will play a more important role in regional economic development. This is why in the "2014 Guangdong Province, the modernization process" evaluation, Guangzhou total score and individual indicators are lost reason in Shenzhen.

In the north of Guangzhou-Shenzhen-four first-tier cities, Shenzhen is the youngest city, is the most attractive, the most tolerant city. This is from the primary school enrollment and the number of students can be seen in the four first-tier cities, Shenzhen is the four cities among the most rapid population growth. A few years later, in Shenzhen in the number of students is expected to reach 100 million people.

Media with "Shenzhen Wang Ding, Beijing Cai, Shanghai, Guangzhou crowd" to describe the current situation, some people believe that this is just proof of the future potential of Shenzhen.

Shenzhen Next

Shenzhen value more obvious in the economic downturn, environmental degradation context only the lowest Shenzhen have investment in China's major cities, the best environment, the lowest debt ratio, the entrepreneurial environment and the development of the best model is the most sustainable.

Determine whether the local market economy has developed several elements, first there is a market allocation of resources; secondly whether excessive government intervention in the market.

"China no longer find another city closer to the market economy than in Shenzhen, Shenzhen this confidence is still there. It is really a market-oriented allocation of resources, relatively less affected by government intervention in the market." Shenzhen CPPCC members gold heart vision for the Economic Observer newspaper reporter said.

In the past three decades, successive Shenzhen in power only a priority - "seeking reform" and "development" to improve the competitiveness and the right to speak of the city.

"Shenzhen is like a stock, just look up, only Shenzhen Mengcuan to affect the regional economy and national structure. At present, China's economy is stronger than in Shenzhen as well, have good technology than in Shenzhen, Shanghai, Beijing, Tianjin, have their own characteristics. Shenzhen is located in the very unique position, the North can affect the whole country, can affect Hong Kong's South East could affect Taiwan 1.6 trillion today does not mean anything, if Shenzhen to deepen reform, further stimulate the vitality of the market, the future may well turn 5-10 times, that is the contribution of China in Shenzhen. "Yang Qin, Shenzhen People's Congress, told the Economic Observer newspaper reporters.

All this comes from his personal judgment, but these judgments based on a premise -. "Only political and economic reform in Shenzhen let go sync to leverage and leveraging role"

According to his analysis, physical space can be developed in Shenzhen has been limited, it would mean Shenzhen future likely "a pool of stagnant water," no land to Shenzhen industry gathered to the point where ordinary people can not imagine, at present, Shenzhen, Che Kung Temple already the largest population density of the world, where only one square kilometer has concentrated nearly 20 million people, the floating population reached 300,000, nearly more than 8,000 companies gathered there.

Yang Qin had proposed a bold proposal is almost fantasy - if you want Shenzhen in the physical space for further expansion, if the national policy to allow, let Shenzhen and Zhuhai can be combined into one large administrative zone.

In his view, Shenzhen and Zhuhai special economic zones have two highly complementary, in terms of population, in Shenzhen and Zhuhai less, from a geographic point of view, large Zhuhai, Shenzhen and small, are three times more waters Zhuhai Shenzhen.

Both on land consolidation means that Shenzhen will get 100 years or even 200 years development, Shenzhen not only to the development of high-tech, but also the development of marine economy, marine economy and speed will certainly more than other parts of the country, because Shenzhen has good financial and logistics industry as support. He believes that the only way possible future Shenzhen's GDP growth of 5-10 times.

In Yang Qin view, Shenzhen is now the government's reform mostly just shy of "micro-reforms" at best, just some tinkering, rather than "policy of breaking up" like the 1980s is so heroic spirit.

If the country wants to successfully achieve the integration of Shenzhen and Hong Kong, not only in the economic motivation minor, but to be synchronized to a fundamental reform in the political and economic changes. Whether it is the political system, judicial, economic, including financial to establish a complete system, this system is superior to Hong Kong, Shenzhen and Hong Kong in order to allow for further cooperation.