Short the Weak

I searched for stocks with at least 50 percent more volume and down more than 5 percent last week, with a market cap of at least $2 billion. It produced 8 stocks.

Doomed Banks

As I've said with other bank posts, most of these patterns repeat over and over. Not every example is included. I'm barely into the As and I've already seen several that looks like ABCB.

For ETFs, I like the KRE April 14 $68.50 put for ultra aggressive speculators (if you like taking 100-percent losses in pursuit of 500-percent or more gains) expecting an immediate drop and the KBE May 20 $50 put for those who are highly aggressive. More charts after the jump below.

BofA slash and burn; OBT portfolio update

Bank of America to Slash Asia Staff in First Quarter

Bank of America Merrill Lynch aims to cut about 20% of its Asia-Pacific managing directors by the end of the first quarter, a person familiar with the situation said Tuesday.

It's been awhile since I updated the OBT (Obama Bernanke Turbo) portfolio. I created the portfolio with five equal shares in the government bailout financial firms—AIG, Citigroup, Bank of America, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac—and it is now down 61.3%, led by 87% losses in Fannie and Freddie. BAC is down 63% since inception; AIG down 33% and Citigroup down 35%. Inception date is August 26, 2009.

Mechanics of deflation

In order to have deflation, there must be a contraction of credit. We have seen consumers use less debt, along with rising fees and interest rates. Now, the debit cards are getting in on the act. If nothing else, it is safe to assume that rising debit card fees will cause customers to use their cards less or cancel them completely, leading to reduced velocity of money. Citi Follows Bank Of America In Instituting Debit Card Fee, $1.9 Trillion In Deposits At Risk Citi and BofA will charge up to $5 a month for debit cards. ZeroHedge takes stretches this into potential bank runs and certainly some consumers may move to smaller banks. However, the definite effect will be reduced consumption as consumers see their ability to spend slowed.

OTB Portfolio Update 6/16/2010

It's been a long time since I did an update on the Obama-Timmy-Bernanke portfolio. It was equally invested in 5 stocks: AIG, Citigroup, Bank of America, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae. The portfolio was initiated on August 26, 2009 and it had an initial value of $1000.

Fannie and Freddie are down more than 40% today because they're being delisted from the NYSE.

Freddie (FRE) is now down more than 65% since portfolio inception, with Fannie (FNM) down more than 70%. The only winner is AIG, currently up 1.76%. The portfolio is down nearly 12% this morning thanks to the losses in Fannie and Freddie, and it is down 32% since inception.

OTB Portfolio Update 2009/09/21

A 21% rally in AIG and gains for every holding except Bank of America (BAC) lifted the OTB Portfolio to a 7.97% gain and into positive territory since inception, up 2.47%. Freddie Mac (FRE) is 0.5% above its initial position value of $200, while AIG is up 28% and has delivered essentially all the portfolio's gains.

OTB Portfolio Update

The 26% gain in AIG, 9% Citigroup and 10% lift in Freddie Mac delivered a 10.17% gain to the portfolio. Fannie Mae and Bank of America were muted today.

Current value: $1101.72

OTB Portfolio Launches!

I've created a new portfolio. I call it the OTB portfolio, for Obama/Tim Geithner/Ben Bernanke.

It holds five stocks that represent the OTB Economy: Citigroup, Bank of America, AIG, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. GM might count, but these guys love financials and credit is the backbone of the American economy, judging by their comments and actions.

I've made the portfolio value $1,000, so any widow or orphan should be able to scrape together enough food stamps to buy into Hope.

Of course I'm way behind the curve. Had I launched the portfolio on July 31, it would already be up 40% to $1399.12. Nevertheless, today is as good as any and Bernanke was just reappointed because he saved the world from Depression! Lots more gains must be on the way...it's not like this was an optimism driven rally and Bernanke's reappointment represents a top or anything.