Swing Counties Favor Trump

Axiom Strategies published an update of their battleground polling. They look at key counties which have tended to predict the outcome of the entire state.
One state considered a lock for Clinton is Nevada, but Washoe County, a swing county in the state that voted +10 and +5 for Obama, is currently +17 for Trump.

Luzerne County in PA is 51 percent Democrat, voted Democrat in the past four presidential elections, Trump is +15.

If the swing counties are correct, plugging in other polling data shows Trump has an Electoral College lead at the moment. Florida is the key state, if it flips to Clinton she wins. Trump would need to pick up two other states (at least one being a big one like Michigan) to offset the loss of Florida in map below.

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