2020-06-24

That Was Sudden: New Era of Low to No Immigration Begins in USA

President Trump limited temporary work visas and immigration visas this week in response to the pandemic. While politics is unpredictable, my suspicion is it may be a long time before these restrictions are fully lifted because I do not expect an economic recovery. More to the point, I believe unemployment will remain stubbornly high.

The Guardian: Trump executive order extends ban on employment-based visas
The presidential proclamation, issued on Monday, will extend a ban on green cards issued outside the US until the end of the year and adds many temporary work visas to the freeze, including the H-1B visas, which permit employers to hire foreign workers with specialized knowledge and are used heavily by technology companies and multinational corporations.

The administration cast the effort as a way to preserve US jobs amid the economic downturn. A senior official who spoke to reporters on condition of anonymity estimated the restrictions will free up to 525,000 jobs for Americans.
Social mood says it's over. The door has closed. Last time it shut for 40 years. I would think 20 years is probably a conservative bet as to how long this will last. Even if the order is lifted by Democrats after November (should they win control of the House, Senate and Presidency), I suspect it will be quickly reimposed by whomever replaces them in office.

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