2015-01-09

Easy Mortgages Could Lift First-Tier Prices in 2015

Sentiment in first-tier cities remains much more positive than in third- and fourth-tier cities. One insider thinks first-tier prices could rebound 7 percent in 2015.

Land supply in Shanghai will be tight:
"Shanghai construction land currently locked total incremental decremented." Gu Yue as Head of Valuation and Consultancy Services DTZ Eastern Region, told reporters described the current situation of land in Shanghai.

Reporters noted that in May 2014, Shanghai Sixth land planning work conference in 2020 the size of 3226 square kilometers of land planning and construction, not a breakthrough. But according to the Shanghai urban construction over the past decade the average rate of expansion is expected in 2020, the scale of construction land demand may exceed 3,600 square kilometers.
Translation of the Google translation: Shanghai land supply is restricted and demand may exceed supply over the next five years by about 400 sq km.

Land sales have been hitting solid premiums in Shanghai and Beijing recently.
December 24, foreshore areas Z000801 preparation unit 32-01 live auction links, Gree real estate gains to total 1.614 billion, a premium rate as high as 127%, equivalent to the floor price of 65,832 yuan / square meter, reaching the national land market since 2014 The highest transaction price. But after a few hours, Sunshine shares to 1.861 billion yuan competing in the southern extension of the Pudong New Area Huangpu district Z000801 foreshore land preparation unit 36-01, 113.8% premium rate, the floor price of 66,629 yuan / square meter, refresh the country again Price records.
Housing data on the four first-tier cities:



First tier cities in 2013 commercial housing turnover List

Sales area (million square meters)

Beijing 1182.43

Shenzhen 438.34

Guangzhou 1053

Shanghai 1278.45

Sales

Beijing 108886

Shenzhen 47759

Guangzhou 92858

Shanghai 105032

Sales Amount (million)

Beijing 2748.44

Shenzhen 947.98

Guangzhou 1399

Shanghai 3098.96

Average selling price (yuan / square meter)

Beijing 23244

Shenzhen 21627

Guangzhou 13276

Shanghai 24240

First tier cities in 2014 commercial housing turnover

Sales area (million square meters)

Beijing 829.32

Shenzhen 403.05

Guangzhou 845

Shanghai 968.3888

Sales

Beijing 79764

Shenzhen 41884

Guangzhou 73380

Shanghai 81458

Sales Amount (million)

Beijing 2070.65

Shenzhen 966.26

Guangzhou 1275

Shanghai 2638.635

Average selling price (yuan / square meter)

Beijing 24968

Shenzhen 23973

Guangzhou 15086

Shanghai 27248

iFeng: 宽松信贷支撑高房价 2015年一线房价或涨7%

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