2015-12-29

Socionomics Test Case: Germany 2016

ZH: Germans pessimistic about economic upside of refugee influx
The findings on German sentiment on the refugee crisis come after another survey released last week showed that some 50 percent of those surveyed were looking at the coming year "with great skepticism and mixed feelings." Only 27 percent had said this ahead of 2015.
Similarly, only 18 percent of the 1,000 respondents said that they viewed the coming year "with great confidence and optimism," compared to 45 percent a year ago.
"The mood's tipping. The German angst is coming back," researcher Horst Opaschowski concluded.
The DAX gained in 2015 thanks to European QE, but is down about 12% from March highs. The economy is already starting to show signs of negative mood.

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