2016-08-11

Suzhou, Wenzhou, Dongguan Population Begins to Decline

The aging of China's population is hitting some cities harder than others and with the younger cohorts already in decline, a gain for any city represents a loss for somewhere else. Cities relying on real estate growth, yet seeing population outflows, are headed for trouble.

In addition, nearly five years, the original population growth front of Suzhou , Foshan, Dongguan and other places have been ranked at the end, Zhengzhou, Wuhan, Changsha, Chongqing and other western cities leapt to the forefront.

Ten years ago, in Beijing-Shanghai-Guangzhou-Shenzhen first-tier cities the average annual incremental population increase was 604,000; 628,000; 276,000; 335,000. The past five years, the average annual increment is 418,600; 227,400; 160,600; and 204,200; respectively.

Second-tier cities the situation is similar. Such as Xiamen past five years, the average annual population inflow of 66,000, less than half of the previous decade. Hangzhou past five years, the average annual inflow of 6.3 million people, about one-third of the previous decade; Xi'an nearly five-year average increase of 4.6 million people per year, while the previous decade average increase of 10.56 million per year.

As for the situation in Suzhou, Dongguan, Foshan, Wuxi, Ningbo and other traditional export slowdown in the inflow of urban population becomes more apparent.

...The momentum of the most fierce in Tianjin, Tianjin past five years the average annual increment of the population reached 495,300, about 200,000 more than in the previous decade. In a series of large projects, large investment, Tianjin Economic 2007 horsepower full, rapid growth has also attracted a large number of personnel and industrial workers to enter. 2010, Tianjin substituted Inner Mongolia, four consecutive years of growth to lead the country. Only after 2014, growth in the first place was only Chongqing replaced.

Chongqing change is also quite interesting. Chongqing past five years, an annual increase of the resident population of 443,900, while the previous decade average annual decrease of 205,800. In recent years, with the industry to accelerate the west coast, a large number of electronic information giant settled in Chongqing, Chongqing further boost the economy. 2014, Chongqing, Tianjin substituted, of GDP growth to lead the country. To the first half of this year, Chongqing is ten consecutive quarters of economic growth to lead the country. In this process, many of the original settlers of the coastal city of Chongqing people choose to go to work.

In addition to these two municipalities of Chongqing and Tianjin, Shijiazhuang, the provincial capital of Fuzhou, both past five years the average annual increment also exceeded the average annual increment of the previous decade. Two years ago the city development speed is not fast, flowing into the total population is not too large, but in recent years, economic growth continues to accelerate, population inflows contrarian higher.
iFeng: 温州东莞苏州人口流入迅速下降 这些城市势头仍很猛

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