The End of the GOP

LA Times: GOP dead zones: You won't find any Republicans to vote for in big areas of L.A. County
In this GOP “dead zone” — spanning parts of five congressional districts, five state Assembly districts and one state Senate district — not a single Republican candidate made it on to the November ballot.

Instead, all but three of the candidates in those races will be Democrats. In two races voters can choose Libertarian Party candidates who mounted successful write-in campaigns during the primary. And in an East Los Angeles congressional race, an Air Force medic is mounting a bare-bones campaign as an independent against Lucille Roybal-Allard.

This scenario is the result of California’s relatively new, voter-approved primary system in which the two candidates who finish with the most votes in the June election go on to the general election — even if they are from the same party.

...For the first time in a statewide contest, voters have two Democrats only to choose between in the open U.S. Senate contest between California Atty. Gen. Kamala Harris and Rep. Loretta Sanchez.

But for those 818,000 voters in parts of Los Angeles County, such as the San Fernando Valley and Central Los Angeles, the dearth of GOP options stretches much further down the ballot, according to an analysis of voter registration conducted for The Times by Political Data Inc.
If Trump wins it is possible (though very unlikely) demographic changes are halted or reversed. If not, the GOP will disappear from Texas within the the next decade, and along with it any chance of winning the Presidency and likely the House of Representatives. Then it will become a regional party in the South, Midwest and Mountain West, with only the Senate available to block Democrat legislation. The same position as Southern Democrats decades before the Civil War.

Next will come states refusing to implement universal healthcare, gun control regulations and various other laws. Economic warfare has already begun as corporations and states refuse to do business with North Carolina over its bathroom bill. State and municipalities already ignore federal laws, such as those applying to immigration and drugs such as marijuana. The path to dissolution is underway and if this is a long-term decline in social mood, it will eventually break the United States into component nations.


  1. "...the GOP will disappear from Texas within the next decade...."

    As a Texan, I can tell you that there is no probable scenario where that happens that quickly, if at all. Hispanic = Democrat is a common stereotype but ignores the Americanization of Hispanics after a couple generations, which tend to lean Republican, including on issues like immigration.

  2. By about 2030, the demographics will favor the Democrats in every presidential election, as happened in California by 1996. By 2050, it will be a lock. The Hispanics who lean Republican often have roots going back 100 years or more. They do lean Republican, but they are also being overwhelmed by mass immigration.