2018-08-12

To Maintain Hegemony, U.S. Must Stop China's Rise

The top article in the finance section this weekend says the U.S. must stop China's rise to maintain hegemony because without hegemony, the U.S. will quickly lose its economic might.

Sina: 侠客岛:美坚定不移维护霸权 一定要遏制中国崛起
The Sino-US trade war has intensified. At the time when both China and the United States saw the move of the move, there were many voices in the two countries.

  The United States does not have to say that the first two tweets on the island are clearer. There are people who support trade wars, but there are more people who oppose trade wars. But in China, it seems that there have been some voices -

  Some people think that China has prematurely demonstrated the ambitions of big countries, warned the United States and began to suppress us; some believe that China has not fulfilled its commitment to join the WTO, and the United States has revenge; and others believe that if China compromises with the United States, accept American standards and requirements to do it, everything will be wonderful again for China and the United States for years to come...
Is it possible?

The answer is simple, impossible. The United States must stop China's rise. This conclusion does not come from delusions, but from the spiritual marrow of the United States. Some people in China are "American" and Americans are busy with "Rome."
"Roman"

  Just look back at the history of the United States and know that what is said is not empty.

  As early as the "Mayflower" carried the time when the Puritans set up the United States, the Governor of the Massachusetts Colony gave a speech to the Puritans and called on them to build the United States into a "City upon a Hill." The so-called "City upon a Hill" is a concept from the Bible, to the extent that it is the country that best fits the will of God.

  If we have to say that the Puritans are religious fanatics, and the American Founding Fathers are full of rational politicians, then we can go over the famous "Federal Party Collection" at that time. It is not difficult to find that these created the United States. In the hearts of politicians, there is a heavy "Roman complex."

  In the history of human civilization, ancient Rome recorded a heavy stroke. After its collapse, Europe fell into the "dark medieval", but the glory of Rome was not forgotten, but became a strong "complex" in the hearts of all European political elites.

  Whether it is the Russian Empire claiming to be "the third Roman", or the former barbarian Germanic people put together a rather funny "Holy Roman Empire", these are very illustrative. Of course, the American fathers who came from the blood of European civilization did not jump out of this circle. To this day, there are still people in the United States who are discussing the issue of the United States being worthy of the "new Rome."

  The reason why the purpose of holding the "City upon a Hill" and "New Rome" is to tell everyone that in the hearts of Americans, they are the world hegemons not because of anything else, but because of "the destiny." In order to realize this idealistic "destiny", Americans do not mind using various realist means to implement it.

  More than a decade ago, Fukuyama, a famous American political scholar, attributed his final history to a "global universal integration country" in his famous work "The Terminator and the Last Man of History" [Google Translate FTW]. Humanity is equally recognized in the country, so history ends here. Is this view actually in the same line as the previous one?

  Places outside "City upon a Hill" clearly deviate from the will of God, they should not exist morally. The famous saying of Rome is "the barbarism is outside Rome." Today's Americans simply wrap these religious and historical values ​​in the shell of "freedom and democracy."

  Therefore, when the United States sells its own values ​​in the world, no matter how idealisticism he says, it is actually for a realistic purpose - to benefit the United States.
Change

  When the United States did not dominate the global capital, it could only bury itself in the pursuit of this goal. When the United States became the world's number one capitalist power by the end of World War I, the then President Wilson was full of idealism, but he still cleverly seized the opportunity, stood on the side of the Allies, and finally participated in Paris by victorious country. A "14-point proposal" will be presented.

  Can't doubt Wilson's attempt to establish a "international alliance" in order to seek peace in the world without recurring the scourge of war. But unfortunately, the two old imperialist countries, Britain and France, are more concerned about dividing the world than considering building a framework for maintaining world peace. In the end, Wilson returned to Washington almost empty-handed.

  Perhaps this empty hand is a good lesson for the Americans to let them understand that the world is a real world. Even if you have a solid capital, if you don't know how to use realism, then any ideal will become a bubble.

  When World War II revived, President Roosevelt and his own admits that "Imperialists" Churchill jointly published an "Atlantic Declaration" full of idealism, claiming to maintain the freedom of the world, but in reality, he started digging at the corners of the British Empire.

  For example, when the United Kingdom confronted the Nazi tyranny, all the arms bought from the United States had to be exchanged for real money. It was not a matter of time to pay for it. It was also possible to keep accounts. The United Kingdom urgently needed to escort anti-submarine warships. The United States generously took out 20 old-fashioned destroyers. But it is not free, and it takes the British to hand over several military bases on the Atlantic as a price...

  In order to arrange the post-war world pattern, Roosevelt went to the Soviet Union's Yalta to meet with Stalin, and of course he also fell on Churchill. However, when the "Yalta pattern" of the sphere of influence of the United States and the Soviet Union was finally determined, Churchill found himself a poor little calf sandwiched between two fierce behemoths, the bald eagle and the polar bear. Where did the world-famous pre-war empire of Great Britain go? IThe United States has hollowed out the corner.

  Roosevelt died after the war, but his political legacy, the realist wrist, was seriously inherited. The United States manipulated the United Nations as a voting machine. It easily kicked Britain out of the Middle East through two wars in the Middle East. It helped support its close brother Israel, and finally firmly controlled the largest oil producing areas, and then manipulated the world's industrial lifeline.
Maintain hegemony

  Of course, the United States is not static. Because of the burden of the vast cost of the Western camp and the Soviet Cold War, the US economy has weakened its control for a while, and the Bretton Woods system, which linked the dollar to gold, finally had to fall apart in 1971. However, with the mastery of the Middle East, the United States has linked the dollar to oil. Financial hegemony is still in the hands of the United States today.

  To put it bluntly, the WTO is actually a magic weapon for the United States to use the free trade system to run against the countries of the Soviet Union. It is through the economic advantages of their own to make rules, the United States almost succeeded in forcing the Soviet Union to engage in a "parallel market." Because of the inability to participate in international trade, Soviet products have not been able to enter the global market smoothly, which has played a relatively invisible weakening effect on the Soviet economy.

  As the world enters the era of globalization, the United States has begun to adopt industrial transformation policies, trying to transfer lower-profit manufacturing industries to emerging market countries, and to make huge profits through multinational corporations, and to avoid burdening infrastructure and environmental costs. Wait. In exchange for other countries to do this, it is called hollowing out of the industry, very dangerous. But the United States does not have to be afraid.

  As the global hegemon, the United States holds the powerful armed forces several times the sum of the military powers of the rest of the world, and the other hand grasps the financial hegemony to control the world market. The United States always makes money, and no one dares to provoke him. Today we see that the United States only needs to print more paper to "fleece", that is, relying on these two hands.

  Therefore, the economy of the United States today is based on its own hegemony. Maintaining hegemony is an unshakable policy of the United States. No matter what you say, his body must be honest. Otherwise we may really see "the decline of Rome" again.
In Response

  On this road, who may challenge the hegemony of the United States, who the United States will target, whether it is an ally or an opponent. The first British empire that blocked the path of American hegemony has been hollowed out by the United States and has been dumped.

  The "60%" law, which is often mentioned recently, says that the United States was seriously repaired by the United States because the Soviet Union and later Japan's GDP reached 60% of the United States. As a result, the Soviet Union’s own body bones were too many problems, and they did not seriously cure the disease. They finally fell apart. Japan has not yet climbed up again today, and can only sigh "the lost twenty years."

  Now our country seems to have basically met that standard.

  Now that China is already a factory in the world, this "world factory" is not just a labor-intensive factory that earns more than a dozen pieces of brand-name bags, but it is gradually ranked No. 1 in many fields with high technical content such as electromechanical manufacturing.

  China is different from other countries in that many Western developed countries are difficult to develop a national economy system with a very complete industrial sector like China because of its small size. Moreover, for a country with a large population and a large land area, it is easy to achieve economies of scale (the larger the scale of production, the lower the cost).

  Of course, what cannot be avoided is that China has not been able to catch up with developed countries in many aspects of manufacturing processes and production process management because of the late start of industrialization. In addition, China's shortcomings in some cutting-edge manufacturing industries are also very obvious.

  Today, the United States can also use the Wassenaar Agreement to take advantage of Western countries to block China’s high-tech products. If China achieves industrial upgrading, then this agreement will become a waste paper, and the United States is very important to restrict China. Therefore, the United States must take advantage of China’s shortcomings, it has no time to lose!

  This is consistent, not only because Trump is on stage. The Obama administration may have been really incapable at the time. His plan to deal with China not only used the "Asia-Pacific rebalancing" to mobilize almost half of the military forces to deter, but also politically provoked tensions around China, from the South China Sea to the peninsula. In economic terms, he tried to create a "TPP" that specifically uses political standards as an entry condition, and his name "cannot let China dominate trade rules."

  Whether the United States is really "destined to hold the Mandate of Heaven" I do not know, but the days are not as good for the people.

  The United States tried to reform the industrial structure in its own country through the "neo-liberal economy". The large outflow of manufacturing industry also brought serious social problems. The world is like Fukuyama. "To achieve freedom and democracy, we must not exclude force. The means "to promote universal values ​​everywhere, and finally hollowed out their own pockets. The accumulation of social contradictions finally led to the appearance of Trump’s "political circle" outsiders. It seems that the American elites are crying and crying.

  It doesn't matter if you cry or don't cry, even if Trump wants to revive the US manufacturing industry, he has few choices. The United States can now rely on the two hands on the basis of hegemony, Trump can only use these two hands to steal money, so that they have to engage in manufacturing costs.

  For the trade war, China has joined the WTO. If it is really unfair in trade, why does Trump not solve the problem through this mechanism? The rules were originally set by the United States.

  After all, everything can be understood through two fables. The first is the story of "wolf and sheep" drinking water. When the wolf wants to eat the sheep, it is not really good to pursue the excuse. The second is the story of "vegetarian tiger". The tiger said that he believes in freedom and democracy and decides change to "vegetarian", if you are a lion and believes it there may be no problem, but you are a rabbit, you are in serious danger.

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