China Has the Momentum to Surpass the USA

It takes time for advantages to pile up, but the graduates from Chinese universities today will likely surpass their American counterparts in 20 years. Or if they don't surpass them, there will be so much more cutting-edge research and technology going on in China, that many American children interested in STEM today should become fluent in Mandarin.

Hanania: The Future of Humanity Is IVF Babies and Chinese Domination

You can see a whole Chinese analysis of, ok, how well did these transformer units, modules, work in this particular AI image processing, implementation, et cetera, et cetera? And you can see the Chinese discussion of it and you can see the English discussion of it. And I’m reminded of when I first started in physics, there was still a hangover from the Cold War, and a lot of people were still learning German and Russian, because there was lots of stuff published in Russian journals that you couldn’t get access to, unless you could read Russian. My father had to learn German and I think, I don’t know if he studied Russian, but he definitely had to learn German as part of his PhD at the University of Minnesota.

So there is that dual kind of reservoir structure evolving now where there’s a separate technological reservoir of information in China. And it’s still in the early phase now, but in some particular areas like AI and software, it’s advancing very fast. Maybe some areas like hypersonics and things like that too.